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Friday, June 30, 2017

MIDEAST UPDATE: 7.1.17 - Israeli Army Prepares for Hezbollah Attack Ahead of Work on Lebanon Border Wall


Israeli Army Prepares for Hezbollah Attack Ahead of Work on Lebanon Border Wall -
http://www.breitbart.com/jerusalem/2017/06/27/israeli-army-prepares-for-hezbollah-attack-ahead-of-work-on-lebanon-border-wall/
Hezbollah may launch an attack against Israel before or during the construction of a new border fence next month, the
former director of the Counter Terrorism Bureau at the Prime Minister's Office said on Monday.

Ex-counter terror chief and former deputy commander of the IDF's Galil Division Brig.-Gen. (res.) Nitzan Nuriel told reporters that if Hezbollah chooses
to strike before the construction of the barrier is completed, it could set off a third Lebanon war.

On Sunday, Hebrew media reported that the IDF is preparing for the Lebanon-based terror group to exploit the fact that large numbers of soldiers will
be along the border next month.


The border aims to curb the threat of ground attacks from Hezbollah into Israel's border communities. The improved fence will stretch between Rosh Hanikra
on the northern Mediterranean coast and the kibbutz of Misgav Am near Kiryat Shemona, as well as between Rosh Hanikra and Hanita northeast of the northern city of Nahariya.

According to Haaretz, IDF's Northern Command believes that Hezbollah may claim that Israel is in violation of the 2000 United Nations-approved border
as a pretext to launch an attack.

On Friday, Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah warned that "hundreds of thousands of fighters" would assist Syria and Lebanon in a war with Israel.

"The Israeli enemy should know that if it launches an attack on Syria or Lebanon, it's unknown whether the fighting will stay just between Lebanon and
Israel, or Syria and Israel," Nasrallah said, adding that a future conflict would be "very costly for Israel."

"I'm not saying countries would intervene directly - but it would open the door for hundreds of thousands of fighters from all around the Arab and Islamic
world to participate in this fight - from Iraq, Yemen, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan," he said.

A day prior, Israel charged Hezbollah with violating United Nations Security Council resolutions by constructing a string of military observation points
under the guise of installations belonging to an environmental NGO.

"Hezbollah is using an environmental organization as a cover for activities along the border with Israel," Israel's military intelligence chief Maj. Gen.
Hertzl Halevi said at the Herzliya Conference.

IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot told the same conference on Wednesday that Hezbollah remains Israel's primary nemesis.  He added that the terror group
is "arming itself with more lethal and accurate weapons to harm the Israeli home front."

Israel's Ambassador to the UN Danny Danon told the UN Security Council that Hezbollah was engaged in a "dangerous provocation" and urged the council to
demand that Lebanon dismantle the observation posts in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 1701, passed at the end of the Second Lebanon War in August 2006.

UNIFIL, the body's 15,000-strong interim force in southern Lebanon, denied the claims, reporting that it "has not observed
any unauthorized armed persons at the locations or found any basis to report a violation of Resolution 1701."



Israel has claimed that UNIFIL has failed its mandate of ensuring "the immediate cessation" of attacks by Hezbollah and maintaining quiet along the border.

 


Golan battles bring Hezbollah near Israeli border -

http://www.debka.com/article/26115/Golan-battles-bring-Hizballah-near-Israeli-border
 

In the last 48 hours, Israel has conducted airstrikes on and aimed tank fire at Syrian army positions near Quneitra's
northern suburb of Baath city, 3km from IDF Golan border defenses. (See map). Those positions were the source of the mortar shells that exploded on the Israeli Golan - 10 on Saturday, June 24 and three the next day. They came from a battle in which Syrian
and Hizballah units were fighting off a Syrian rebel offensive around Quneitra.


The rebel militias set up a coalition to coordinate their offensive. It is dominated by the Hay'at Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS), which Damascus claims is an arm
of Al Qaeda-Syria. In fact, it is an alignment of dozens of Islamist groups, some of which belonged and still do to Jabhat Fateh al-Sham - the former Nusra Front.


Fighting on the side of the Assad regime are the remnants of the Syrian army's 90th Brigade, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards South Syrian command center,
and the pro-Iranian Afghan Shiite militia.


They are joined by members of Hezbollah's Southern Shield Brigade.
This brigade is made up of Palestinians, Druzes, Circassians and local Syrians, whom Hizballah recruited and has posted in Hermon villages ready to launch
terrorist attacks inside Israel.


The battle around Quneitra was preceded on June 17 by the assassination of Majd a-Din Khalik Khaymoud, commander of the Southern Shield Brigade and his
two lieutenants, who were caught in an ambush near the village of Khan Arnabah. No party took responsibility for this attack.


Then, on Saturday, June 24, the rebel coalition launched its offensive on the Syrian-Hizballah units at Al-Baath, boasting that they would not stop until
they reached Damascus. Although they caught the enemy by surprise, they were unable to follow up with a rapid advance, because they were pushed back by superior fire power. Since the Syrian mortars were aiming their fire at the rebel units concentrated around
Quneitra, i.e., from east to west, some of the shells spilled over the border into the Golan.


When the rebels saw they were falling short of their objective, they drummed up a more modest goal: It was to open a second front in order to lighten
the pressure on a separate rebel organization which for nearly three weeks has been fighting off fierce assaults on their positions in the southern Syrian town of Daraa, close to the Jordanian border.


Assad's army, combined with large-scale Hezbollah units and pro-Iranian forces, are therefore in full flight to seize control of Syria's borders with
Jordan and Israel. Amman and Jerusalem therefore face a twin peril on the Daraa and Al-Baath fronts.   Both are anxious to keep Hizballah as far as possible from their territory.




But for now,  both these war-fronts hang in the balance and are undecided. Also undecided on how and when to react are Israel and Jordan. Hezbollah is already
3km from the Golan border, although Israel's government and military leaders have pledged repeatedly that they would be allowed to come in so close.

 

 
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