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Friday, October 13, 2017

WORLD AT WAR: 10.14.17- End time implications of a North Korea EMP attack


End time implications of a North Korea EMP attack - Bill Wilson - www.dailyjot.com
 
A group of nuclear experts Thursday testified before the House Committee on Homeland Security that a North Korean nuclear electromagnetic pulse detonation on the United States could kill 90% of our population within a year of the attack. Drs. William Graham and Peter Pry of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack told congressmen that in 2004 Russia had "accidentally" given N Korea plans for a "Super-EMP" weapon. They said that on September 20 N Korea had detonated an H-Bomb it describes as capable of "super-powerful EMP" attack and released a technical report accurately describing what Russia and China call a "Super-EMP" weapon.
 
The experts said that N Korea's nuclear capabilities were drastically underestimated: "After massive intelligence failures grossly underestimating North Korea's long-range missile capabilities, number of nuclear weapons, warhead miniaturization, and proximity to an H-Bomb, the biggest N Korean threat to the U.S. remains unacknowledged-nuclear EMP attack. In short, the previous Administration grievously and negligently ignored the nuclear build up in N Korea aided and abetted by Russian and Chinese technicians and advisors. It was known that these countries were working together on missile and nuclear technology as early as 2001. In May 2011, the UN released a report that China was working with Iran and N Korea on nuclear weaponry, but the previous Administration did little or nothing to end the collaboration.
 
After decades of kicking the can down the road, America now faces a perilous nuclear threat that must be addressed by the current Administration. In June 2005, N Korea agreed to what is called the "six party talks" to discuss ways to voluntarily disarm their nuclear weapons program. It was an effort to diplomatically prevent North Korea arming terrorists against Israel and the United States. Earlier in 2005, there were two N Korean train shipments that exploded-one in N Korea and another in Syria.  Both were reportedly carrying missiles, missile technology and weapons technology. Today, the threat is expanded to N Korea's ability to attack America either by sea or by using nuclear-armed satellites, the experts said.
 
While N Korea, the US, Russia or China are not specifically mentioned in the Bible as players in the end times, these countries could impact prophecy. America stands in the breech for Israel. Russia, China and N Korea have a long history of arming Islamic regimes hostile to Israel. Without the US, Israel's enemies could easily attack Israel. The end time prophecies outlined by Christ in Matthew 24, however, would still have to play out-wars and rumors of wars, antichrist, the abomination of desolation, great tribulation, deception, and as Christ said in Matthew 24:31 about his appearance: "And he shall send his angels with a great sound of a trumpet, and they shall gather together his elect from the four winds, from one end of heaven to the other." Meantime, let us pray for our nation, and the peace of Jerusalem. 
 
 
'Count down days to death' in Israel -
 
Jews urged to leave as new threat issued to destroy nation in next war
 
In one of the fieriest speeches directed at Israel by Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah, he called for the ethnic cleansing of all Jews in Israel, the destruction of the Jewish state and told Israelis to begin a "countdown to death."
 
The speech echoed recent rhetoric recently by the Iranian regime and its military officials, who said Tel Aviv would be "destroyed" if Israel made "a mistake," and that Israel would not survive for more than 25 years.
 
"Israel should remain silent and count down the days to its death, because any minor mistake would lead to its demise as fast as lightning," said Iranian army commander Maj.-Gen. Abdolrahim Mousavi.
 
The Investigative Project on Terrorism said the threats contain two messages.
 
"The first message is a reaffirmation of the Shi'ite axis's jihadist, ideological, long-term commitment to Israel's destruction," the report said. "The second message is more immediate; it is an attempt to deter Israeli decision makers from trying to stop Iran and its proxies from taking over Syria."
 
Iran, Hezbollah and several other Shi'ite militias are helping the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad regime complete its victory over ISIS, with the assistance of Russian airpower. The upsurge in war-like rhetoric toward Israel is a signal of growing confidence fueled by their victories in Syria, said the IPT report.
 
Nasrallah has good reason to remain fearful of Israel, for it is the only state that has both the capability and determination to challenge their takeover of Syria. There have been a series of reported Israeli precision strikes on weapons production centers and arms smuggling attempts in Syria. One strike reportedly targeted the Assad regime's Scientific Studies and Research Center weapons facility, where chemical, biological, and advanced ballistic missiles are developed and manufactured. The targeted facility may have been where Iran tried to hand over powerful weapons to Hezbollah.
 
Israel issued its own warning on what is taking place in the region.
 
"The next conflict, if it erupts, will have a completely different character," said Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman. "Our enemies will try first to strike our population centers and civilian infrastructure. And if our red lines will be breached, the other side must know in advance that it is going to pay very heavy prices."
 
 
 
Israel's Defense Minister: Lebanon's army 'an integral part' of Hezbollah - By Anna Ahronheim -
 
"Whoever wants peace must prepare for war, and I hope that our enemies on the other side will think carefully about every step taken against the State of Israel," says Defense Minister Liberman.
 
Lebanon's army has become an integral part of Hezbollah's network, Israel's Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman stated on Tuesday, warning that the next war on Israel's northern border will not be confined to one front but will see conflict with both Syria and Lebanon.
 
Addressing IDF soldiers during a celebratory event marking the festival of Sukkot at his sukka in the military headquarters in Tel Aviv, Liberman warned that preparation for the next war was of great importance, as it will likely include the Lebanese military along with Hezbollah.
 
"We're talking about Hezbollah and about the Lebanese military, and unfortunately this is the reality," Liberman said, adding that the "Lebanese army has lost its independence and has become an integral part of Hezbollah's network."
 
"Even if the next campaign develops, and it does not matter where it develops, in the north or the south, it will immediately become a battle on two fronts," the defense minister said.
 
"We are supposed to prepare for every possible scenario, and the new reality also prepares new challenges for us. If we once talked about the Lebanese sector, then there is no longer such a sector, there is a northern sector in every development," he continued.
 
Senior officials from Israel's defense establishment have repeatedly stated that while the chance of escalation on the border is low, the smallest incident or a miscalculation by either side would have the possibility to lead to conflict.
 
"Our entire effort is to prevent the next war, but in the new 'Middle East,' the assessments we previously made are simply irrelevant.  The reality now is fragile, it can change from moment to moment, from today to tomorrow," he said.
 
"Whoever wants peace must prepare for war, and I hope that our enemies on the other side will think carefully about every step taken against the State of Israel, so that we will not have to demonstrate the full strength and capabilities of the IDF."
 
Israeli officials, including Liberman, have repeatedly voiced concerns about the smuggling of sophisticated weaponry to Hezbollah and the growing Iranian presence on its borders, stressing that both are red-lines for the Jewish State.
 
Both France and the United States have provided Lebanon with advanced weaponry, and this past summer, the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) received 50 armored vehicles, 40 artillery pieces and 50 grenade launchers from the United States as part of an aid package to bolster the Middle Eastern country against the threats posed by militant groups.
 
Saudi Arabia in March halted its military aid program to Beirut after Lebanese President Michel Aoun defended Hezbollah's arsenal in an interview with an Egyptian TV channel, calling it "an essential component" of the means to defend Lebanon.
 
"Hezbollah weapons are not contradictory to the state, but are an essential part in defending the country," Aoun told the Egyptian TV network CBC satellite channel. "As long as a part of the territory is occupied by Israel, and as long as the army is not powerful enough to fight Israel, we feel the need to maintain the weapons of the resistance to complement the army."
 
Israel and Hezbollah fought a deadly 33-day war in 2006, which came to an end under UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which called for the disarmament of Hezbollah, the withdrawal of the Israeli army from Lebanon, the deployment of the Lebanese army and an enlarged UN force in the south.
 
According to IDF assessments, Hezbollah has increased its military capabilities due to its fighting in Syria, and has spread its troops across the entire Middle East. In addition to a massive arsenal of rockets and missiles, Hezbollah is able to mobilize close to 30,000 fighters and has flouted its tunnel system, complete with ventilation, electricity and rocket launchers.
 
Some 200 villages in south Lebanon have also been turned into "military strongholds" from which Hezbollah militants are able to watch Israeli soldiers at any moment.
 
On Saturday, Lebanon's Al-Akhbar news website reported that security services had arrested three men who were allegedly gathering intelligence on Hezbollah and transferring it to Israel's spy agency, the Mossad.
 
In next war, Israel will face fighting in north and south - Stuart Winer -
 
Avigdor Liberman says Syria and Lebanon now one unified front, and Lebanese army controlled by Hezbollah terror group
 
Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman on Tuesday said the next war in Israel will see the Israel Defense Forces facing both a unified Syrian and Lebanese foe and another front in the Gaza Strip.
 
He also declared Tuesday that the Lebanese army has been fully integrated with Hezbollah and now operates under the terror group's command.
 
 "When the next campaign begins, and it doesn't matter where it begins, in the north or the south, it will immediately become a two-front campaign. There is no longer a single front, and that is our basic assumption. We are preparing the army for that," said Liberman, addressing the Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv during an event for soldiers to mark the ongoing Sukkot festival.
 
"And also regarding the Lebanese front we are no longer talking about Hezbollah alone," he added. "We are talking about Hezbollah and the Lebanese army; regrettably that is the reality. The Lebanese army has become an integral part of the Hezbollah apparatus under its command."
 
The defense minister said that Israel's northern front now included both Lebanon and Syria, where he predicted fighting against the Jewish state would be coordinated.
 
"The new reality also prepares new challenges for us. If once we spoke about the Lebanese front - there is no longer such a front. There is the northern front. In any development there may be, it will be one front, Syria and Lebanon together, Hezbollah, the Assad regime and all the Assad regime supporters."
 
Although Israeli and Syrian forces clashed in Lebanon during the 1982 First Lebanon War, the two countries have not fought across their common border since the 1973 Yom Kippur War.
 
Israel was working to prevent a war, but the situation was "fragile" and a confrontation could erupt at any moment, said Liberman.
 
"All of our effort is to prevent the next war, but in the 'new' Middle East the assessments that were familiar in the past, such as low likelihood [of war], are simply irrelevant assessments," said Liberman. "The reality is fragile; it can happen from one moment to another, from today to tomorrow."
 
"It's all based on the fact that we have to prepare for a serious battle, and there is no battle without tremendous firepower," the defense minister said. "My personal basic view is that 'those who want peace should prepare for war.' I hope that our enemies on the other side will think well about each step they take against Israel, in order that we not be required to demonstrate the full force and abilities of the IDF."
 
Israel last fought a full-scale war with Hezbollah in 2006's Second Lebanon War, and tensions have remained high even as the northern border has remained relatively quiet in the past decade.
 
Hezbollah is believed to have an arsenal of between 100,000 and 150,000 short-, medium- and long-range missiles and a fighting force of some 50,000 soldiers, including reservists.
 
A Hezbollah commander said last month that the group has more than 10,000 fighters in southern Syria ready to confront Israel. Hezbollah has been fighting on behalf of the Syrian regime as it tries to suppress a six-year long insurgency.
 
Israel worries Hezbollah and its backer Iran could launch a war against the Jewish state from southern Syria.
 
Recently, Israeli officials have warned that any attack by Hezbollah, which has seats in the Lebanese parliament, would be seen by Israel as an attack by Lebanon.
 
 
The Middle East quagmire: Israel's strategy on Iran, Syria & UNDOF - Yossi Melman -
 
In 1974, after the Yom Kippur War, Israel and Syria signed the Disengagement Agreement, which was sanctioned by UN Security Council resolutions.
 
WHEN IT comes to Iran and Syria, Israel's policy has three dimensions: grand strategy, strategy and tactics.
 
Its strategy on Iran's nuclear program was recently expressed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in his meeting in Washington on the eve of the Jewish New Year with US President Donald Trump and in his speech at the UN General Assembly in New York.
 
Netanyahu called for the nuclear deal between the great powers and Iran to be torn up or radically changed. The agreement, which was reached in July 2015 after years of tough negotiation, has six main partners: the US, the UK, Russia, China, France and Germany.
 
The deal is a unique achievement. In an era in which the world is sliding back into cold tension and conflict areas - especially North Korea, Syria and Ukraine - the six powers managed to reach a consensus on how to deal with Iran's nuclear ambitions.
 
Though the deal will expire after 10 years (less than eight years from now), it has held Iran back from reaching the nuclear bomb within three months to at least one year.
 
Seasonal reports by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), supported by Israel, the US and other intelligence communities, show that so far Iran is honoring its agreements.
 
Still, the deal is far from perfect. For example, IAEA inspectors don't have access to military sites where, some suspect, forbidden nuclear R&D work is being conducted. Israeli intelligence agencies together with its American, British, German and other counterparts are constantly on the lookout for the slightest deviation from the deal on the part of Iran.
 
Since irritating then-US president Barack Obama by acting behind his back to press Congress to cancel the nuclear deal, Netanyahu has been silent on the matter. He did so because he didn't want to risk losing the generous US annual military assistance package of $3.8 billion for 10 years. He also realized that the nuclear deal could not be canceled or amended.
 
But after Trump hinted that he might demand changes to the deal, Netanyahu broke his silence and jumped at the opportunity, trying to persuade him to cancel the deal during their meeting in New York.
 
The US president has until October 15 to decide whether to sanction the deal or challenge it. If he does challenge it, Congress can cancel the deal and impose more sanctions on Iran.
 
It's hard to know what the unpredictable Trump will decide. He has already called it the "worst deal ever" and even promised "surprises."
 
But it won't be that easy to roll back the deal. In Israel, there is a growing gap between the political echelon led by Netanyahu and supported by most cabinet ministers and the security establishment. And even among the security chiefs, there is disagreement.
 
While Mossad chief Yossi Cohen sides with Netanyahu, Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Gadi Eisenkot and Military Intelligence head Maj.-Gen. Herzl Halevi are much more cautious. They believe alternatives to the current deal could be worse.
 
These differences of opinion are echoed in the US between Trump, and his secretaries of state and defense, supported by their military and intelligence chiefs.
 
But even if Trump has the upper hand and demands to amend the deal, the likelihood of it actually happening is slim. Even if the US pulls out from the agreement, the other five signatories will remain, as with the Global Climate Treaty. By abandoning the nuclear deal, the US would further weaken the international consensus - whatever is left of it.
 
The ramifications for Israel are even more dangerous. If the US and/or other parties revoke the deal, Iran may very well do the same. Indeed, there are hawkish voices in Iran calling on it to jump ship.
 
In such a scenario, we may well find ourselves once again in the reality of three to four years ago of war threats - with one big exception. Unlike then, this time Iran may actually rush to assemble the bomb and join the exclusive nuclear club, which consists of the five big powers, as well as Israel, India, Pakistan and North Korea.
 
The Iranian temptation to do so is huge. It is envious of North Korea, which under its nuclear weapon umbrella is flashing its middle finger to the world.
 
If nuclear Iran forces Netanyahu to develop his strategy, its military presence in Syria will remain a strategic challenge.
 
The civil war in Syria is far from over. It's already clear that Iran (together with Russia), which saved the Bashar Assad regime, is emerging as the big winner. Here, too, life isn't going to be easy for Israel.
 
Israel demands that in the long run, if a diplomatic solution to return Syria to normalcy is reached, it will include the withdrawal of all foreign forces. This demand is supported by Russia and the US. However, the Syrian predicament is very complex. A long-term diplomatic deal is not on the horizon.
 
To accomplish the goal that all foreign forces leave Syrian soil, it needs the Turkish military to comply as well. But Turkey is reluctant to withdraw its forces as long as Syrian Kurds do not abandon their hope to have a Kurdish territorial entity along the Turkish border.
 
To press the Kurds to do so is not in the cards at the moment. The US and even Russia need them as "boots on the ground" to finish off ISIS. Indeed, the Kurds have proven to be the most effective force in the war. It won't be easy to persuade them to allow their aspirations, enveloped in blood, sacrifice and heavy casualties, to evaporate into thin air.
 
But even if the Turks do eventually leave Syria, there is no guarantee that the Iranians will follow suit. At the moment, Iran has 3,000 military advisors in Syria; its Shi'ite "volunteers" (practically mercenaries) from Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan number 9,000 and Lebanese Hezbollah another 8,000. That's a big contingent to be reckoned with. They, too, have invested blood and sacrifice, and want to reap the dividends of war.
 
Iran wants a land corridor from Tehran via Iraq and Syria to Lebanon. It aspires to construct a naval base on Syria's Mediterranean shores, and it wants to get as close to the Israeli and Jordanian borders as possible.
 
The Iranian presence in Syria is a red line that Israeli leaders say they will not tolerate. Netanyahu and Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman have made it clear, both publicly and in messages to Russia and the US, that they will not allow Iranian troops or their Shi'ite allies to cross a line 60 kilometers from the Israeli border.
 
There is no guarantee that such a demand will be achieved but it is possible. After all, with its allies and proxies in Syria (Kurds, Druze and moderate rebel groups), Israel holds at least one important key to the Syrian gates: It can raise hell and sabotage any future deal by using its military force to prolong the war. Russia knows it. Assad knows it. And even the Iranians understand it.
 
In the meantime, the Israeli-Syrian border has, for the most part, been quiet. The dozen or so breaches of the status quo were usually unintended fire between the Syrian army and various rebel groups that spilled over into Israeli territory. In each case, the Israeli artillery or fighter jets retaliated against Syrian army positions. On rare occasions, Syrian jets or Hezbollah drones that flew close to the border were downed by the Israel Air Force or its anti-aircraft batteries. Israeli policy was and remains to preserve its sovereignty, to maintain peace and tranquility along the border areas, and to punish any group that violates it.
 
Furthermore, Israel took advantage of the chaos of the Syrian war by reportedly carrying out around 100 attacks against weapons shipments from Iran via Syria to Hezbollah. In all incidents, the Syrians, Iranians and Hezbollah swallowed their pride, contained the damage and casualties and did not respond.
 
Last July, Russia, Jordan and the US declared a cease-fire near the triangular borders of Israel, Syria and Jordan. All groups present in the declared zone - the Syrian army and all the rebel groups as well as ISIS and al-Qaida - are respecting the cease-fire, and Russian military police are authorized to supervise it.
 
Though the agreement was achieved without direct Israeli participation in the talks, Israeli security officials operated behind the scenes and conveyed their needs and concerns to the various parties involved.
 
The arrangement, however, is fragile. Israel and Syria are emerging from the quandary with at least one common interest: to get rid of the 1,000-strong ISIS force in the triangular borders and to restore the old order.
 
In 1974, after the Yom Kippur War, Israel and Syria signed the Disengagement Agreement, which was sanctioned by UN Security Council resolutions. The agreement created a buffer zone inside Syria ranging from 500 meters to 100 kilometers, with military limitations on both sides.
 
To monitor the disengagement of forces, a special UN peace-keeping force called UNDOF (United Nations Disengagement Observer Force) was created.
 
At its peak, UNDOF was comprised of 1,500 people from dozens of nations. But during the Syrian civil war, after some UNDOF personnel were kidnapped by rebels and some killed, the size of the force was reduced, and UNDOF evacuated its positions in Syria and took shelter in the safety of Israel. Effectively, UNDOF became a force on paper.
 
In recent weeks, though, UNDOF has been returning. Backed by Israel and Syria, UNDOF Commander Maj.-Gen. Jai Shanker Menon recently visited Tel Aviv and met with military attach�s of various Western countries, encouraging them to reinstate or send their troops back to UNDOF.
 
If UNDOF does manage to restore its capabilities, it can be said that even if Israel finds it strategically difficult to achieve its goals, at least tactically it will move forward.
 
 
Growing Iranian-Hezbollah Confidence to Take on Israel After ISIS
 
A recent speech by Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah contained unusually aggressive statements, calling for the ethnic cleansing of Jews from Israel, and claiming that a future war would lead to Israel's "demise."
 
Nasrallah said that Israeli Jews should "leave and return to the countries from which they came so they are not fuel for any war that the idiotic [Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu government takes them to. ... They will have no secure place in occupied Palestine."
 
The speech echoed rhetoric recently espoused by the Iranian regime and its military officials, who said that Tel Aviv would be "destroyed" if Israel made "a mistake," and that Israel would not survive for more than 25 years.
 
"Israel should remain silent and count down the days to its death, because any minor mistake would lead to its demise as fast as lightning," said Iranian army commander Maj.-Gen. Abdolrahim Mousavi.
 
These threats contain two messages.
 
The first message is a reaffirmation of the Shiite axis' jihadist, ideological, long-term commitment to Israel's destruction. The second message is more immediate; it is an attempt to deter Israeli decision makers from trying to stop Iran and its proxies from taking over Syria.
 
Iran, together with its chief agent Hezbollah and several other Shiite militias, are helping the Assad regime complete its victory in Syria, with the assistance of Russia. This is a victory made possible by the mass murder and terrorization of Syria's Sunni population, and the ensuing mass movement of refugees out of the country.
 
The upsurge in war-like rhetoric towards Israel is a signal of growing Iranian-Hezbollah confidence, fueled by their victories in Syria.
 
Radical Shiite forces -- armed, funded and commanded by Iran -- are now moving into the vacuum left behind by ISIS. Tehran's objective is to turn Syria into another Lebanon: a heavily armed outpost from which Iran can launch attacks against Israel.
 
So far, the international community has shown no interest or willingness to stop this development from happening.
 
Despite the latest bluster, Nasrallah made sure to issue his statements from the safety of his Lebanese bunker -- an indication he still fears Israel's powerful reach.
 
Nasrallah and his Iranian masters have good reason to remain fearful of Israel, because it is the only state that has both the capability and determination to challenge their takeover of Syria.
 
There have been a series of reported Israeli precision strikes on weapons production centers and arms smuggling attempts in Syria. One strike reportedly targeted the Assad regime's Scientific Studies and Research Center (CERS) weapons facility, where chemical, biological and advanced ballistic missiles are developed and manufactured.
 
The targeted facility may have been where Iran tried to hand over powerful weapons to Hezbollah.
 
Israel is running a low profile campaign against the dangerous buildup of Hezbollah's weapons arsenal. These are arms that are produced in Iran and Syria, and trafficked to Lebanon. The Israeli campaign is a thorn in the side of the Shiite axis.
 
There is a wider Israeli warning here: Jerusalem has no intention of sitting on the side and watching Syria turn into an Iranian-Hezbollah base.
 
Israeli leaders are issuing their own warnings, making it clear that provocations by the Shiite axis can lead to devastation.
 
"The next conflict, if it erupts, will have a completely different character. Our enemies will try first to strike our population centers and civilian infrastructure. And if our red lines will be breached, the other side must know in advance that it is going to pay very heavy prices," said Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman.
 
In addition, Israel has stated that it will not tolerate an encroachment on its border by Iranian or Hezbollah forces operating in Syria. Sunni states like Jordan and Saudi Arabia are equally disturbed by events in Syria. But Israel is the only regional state with the ability to stop the Iranian game plan.
 
Only time will tell whether the world continues to turn a blind eye to the radical Shiite entrenchment in Syria, and leave Israel to deal with this mess by itself.
 
Meanwhile, recent comments by the head of the Mossad, Israel's overseas intelligence service, serve as a timely reminder of the fact that the Iranian nuclear program remains a threat -- and is only temporarily dormant.
 
"Iran continues to possess a vision of having a significant nuclear capability, leading to a military nuclear ability," Mossad chief Yossi Cohen asserted in recent days.
 
Furthermore, "Iran continues to act with increasing aggression in activating military forces and operations in the Middle East, closer to our border than ever, in the Lebanese and Syrian arenas [which are] as one. Iran continues to support Hezbollah, and recently, it is increasingly supporting Hamas. Iran continues to transfer advanced and precise weapons to terrorist organizations in our area," the Mossad chief added.
 
The Mossad, he said, conducts "thousands of operations, some complex and daring, in the heart of enemy states."
 
This not-so-cold war between Israel and the Iranian axis looks set to continue. Lines are being drawn in Syria by both sides. Israel's lines are purely defensive, while Iran and its agents are following a belligerent, encroaching agenda, which threatens to destabilize the entire region.
 
 
 
 
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