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Friday, February 13, 2015

MIDEAST UPDATE: 2.13.15 - US, Iran galloping towards deal which threatens Israel

 US, Iran galloping towards deal which threatens Israel - http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4624318,00.html 
 
Prime Minister Netanyahu says US, Iranian commitment to reach nuclear deal with Iran by March a danger to Israel, vows Israel 'will do everything, take any action to foil this bad deal.'
 
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated once again his promise to stop at nothing to prevent Iran from reaching nuclear capabilities, or maintain the ability to do so quickly through a deal with the west.
 
His comments came US Secretary of State Kerry met with his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif Friday and again Sunday in Munich, where the top US diplomat stressed Washington's commitment to seeing the deadline met.
 
"The major powers and Iran are galloping toward an agreement that will enable Iran to arm itself with nuclear weapons, which will endanger the existence of the State of Israel," Netanyahu said at Israeli government's weekly cabinet meeting.
 
Netanyahu took aim at Kerry and Zarif, saying that their intention to complete a framework agreement by the end of March, forces Israel to take action. "From this (commitment stems the urgency of our efforts to try and block this bad and dangerous agreement.
 
"We will continue to take action and to lead the international effort against Iran's arming itself with nuclear weapons. We will do everything and will take any action to foil this bad and dangerous agreement that will place a heavy cloud over the future of the State of Israel and its security," Netanyahu said.  
 
Kerry ruled out extending a March 31 deadline for Iran nuclear talks unless the basic framework of an agreement is hammered out, speaking in an interview aired Sunday.
 
"The only chance I can see of an extension at this point in time would be that you really have the outlines of the agreement," Kerry said in the interview on NBC's "Meet the Press" taped Saturday in Munich.
 
Global powers have been struggling for more than a year to pin down a comprehensive deal to rein in Iran's suspected nuclear program, after an interim accord was struck in November 2013.
 
After their meeting Sunday, Zarif appeared to rule out any new extension to tough negotiations with world powers.
 
Kerry said outlining the basics of the agreement was crucial before a possible extension could be considered, but reiterated his preference for sticking to the target date.
 
"But if we're not able to make the fundamental decisions that have to be made over the course of the next weeks, literally, I think it would be impossible to extend," he told NBC.
 
"I don't think we would want to extend at that point. Either you make the decisions to prove your program is a peaceful one, or if you're unable to do that, it may tell a story that none of us want to hear."
 
After missing two previous deadlines, the group known as the P5+1 - Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia, and the United States - set a March 31 deadline for a political agreement.
 
That would be followed by a final deal setting out all the technical points of what would be a complex accord by June 30.
 
But the atmosphere has been complicated by hardliners both in Iran and the United States, with US lawmakers threatening to impose new sanctions on Iran if the March deadline is missed.
   Hamas attack tunnels remain the greatest threat to Israel - http://www.jpost.com/Arab-Israeli-Conflict/Analysis-Hamass-attack-tunnels-remain-the-greatest-threat-to-Israel-390584

 
The IDF's controlled explosion of a tunnel on Monday is a symbolic act that completes the achievement of one of the most important goals of last summer's Gaza war - the destruction of some 30 Hamas attack tunnels.
 
The tunnel, located near the Gaza border in the area of the Karni crossing, some three kilometers from Kibbutz Nahal Oz, was uncovered during the war, but the destruction of the tunnel was controlled and carried out in coordination with local residents. It was a branch of an attack tunnel that started in Gaza's Shejaiya neighborhood. The tunnel, found to contain old weaponry, was destroyed in order to prevent Hamas from using it again in a future war.
 
Hamas did indeed suffer damaging blows in the war. The uncovering and destruction of the tunnels was one of the heaviest blows dealt to the organization. The defense establishment speaks of a "deterred Hamas," but the concept of deterrence is clearly fragile. Therefore, in the IDF it is estimated that it is just a matter of time until the next round of fighting. It could be a matter of months or years.
 
There is one undisputed point agreed upon in the defense establishment: Hamas is continuing in its efforts to learn lessons from the war and rehabilitate its military capabilities. A week does not go by without reports of the organization carrying out rocket-launching experiments from different sites in the Strip, westward into the sea.
 
Hamas is still finding it difficult to smuggle weapons into Gaza, especially rockets, because of good Israeli intelligence and because of Egypt's contribution to weakening the organization. Egypt is demolishing houses between Sinai and the Strip to create a 1,000 meter buffer zone which could potentially be expanded to three kilometers from the border. Cairo sees Hamas as a group which must be combated due to its support of jihadist terror in Sinai.
 
However, this doesn't prevent Hamas from making domestically-produced rockets. In the past six months, since the conclusion of the Gaza war, Hamas is believed to have made several hundred rockets, good for various ranges, of the types used during Operation Protective Edge. However it is not known at this point if Hamas has received technological help from Iran that could potentially improve the rockets' range and accuracy.
 
Hamas is also trying to divert building materials and cement to reconstructing the tunnels, even though soil conditions in the area allow for relatively easy and quick digging that makes it possible to build sturdy tunnels with a limited amount of cement. Wooden support posts generally suffice.
 
Therefore, Israel's biggest problem remains the tunnels. Hamas has begun digging them again with the understanding that they are a strategic tool which must be updated and improved, as well as doing everything possible to make it more difficult for Israel to detect and uncover them in the future.
 
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