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Saturday, January 17, 2015

MIDEAST UPDATE: 1.16.15 - Hezbollah's firepower of 150,000 projectiles exceeds all European armies combined

Hezbollah's firepower of 150,000 projectiles exceeds all European armies combined - http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/IDF-must-be-prepared-for-action-against-Hezbollah-Hamas-and-Iran-387794

 
The IDF must be prepared for three principal security scenarios in the near future, former national security adviser Maj.- Gen. (res.) Yaakov Amidror has said, naming them as a large-scale ground war against Hezbollah in Lebanon, attrition against Hamas in Gaza, and the possibility of a military operation in Iran.
 
The military must prepare for these challenges while providing ongoing security, Amidror, a senior researcher at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, said in a report published on the center's website.
 
The feat "will be neither easy nor cheap," he added.
 
"The most significant threat to Israel's very existence is the possibility that some time in 2015, Iran will reach a deal with the West that would allow it to pursue some form of nuclear military capability. This process will not come to fruition this year, but a bad deal with the superpowers would be an important milestone for Tehran," Amidror warned.
 
Looking ahead to 2015, Israel faces threats posed mainly by non-state entities motivated by Islamic ideology.
 
"The strongest of them is Hezbollah, which was formed with a dual purpose in mind: It represents Iran's long reach in the area and against Israel, while at the same time it aims to control Lebanon, where the Shi'ites are the largest ethnic group," Amidror added.
 
Hezbollah most closely resembles an army, and its arsenal totals some 150,000 missiles and rockets, several thousand of which can target any area in Israel.
 
"This rare and substantial firepower apparently even exceeded the firepower possessed by most of the European states combined," Amidror said in the report.
 
Additionally, Hezbollah is armed with surface-to-sea missiles, anti-aircraft missiles, drones and modern anti-tank missiles.
 
"It is well organized into a military-style hierarchy and appears to possess command and control systems of high quality. It was established by Iranian leaders, but its leadership has always consisted of Lebanese people who were closely linked to Iran's interests," the report continued. "Hezbollah assisted the Shi'ites by providing for their needs in the civilian sphere as a base for building its military power."
 
Hezbollah is busy with its intervention in Syria, a war it deems crucial for its own survival, according to Amidror. "It fights beside the Syrian Alawites because it needs them to stay in power. If Assad survives, Hezbollah's status in Lebanon will increase, as will its status in Damascus."
 
Hamas in the Gaza Strip also constitutes a steadily rising security threat, one that is able to manufacture its own long-range rockets and tunnel grid.
 
Hamas is left with 3,500 rockets after a 50-day war with Israel. Now, "the big question is the speed at which Hamas can regain the capabilities it has lost. For Hamas, the current regime in Egypt is a formidable obstacle. Hamas has the markings of a well-organized military organization, as well as an impressive ability to learn and improve," Amidror wrote.
 
Islamic Jihad in Gaza cannot be discounted as a threat either.
 
Amidror noted that in 2015, no real army threatens Israel's security any longer. Egypt's military does not hold Israel as a prime target, and Egyptian military leaders have yet to consolidate their hold on power, the former national security adviser argued.
 
The Syrian army is completely engaged in the civil war, "and while it still possesses a substantial arsenal, its units have been compromised, its morale is extremely low, and many of its commanders fear for their lives if the other side should win. The once enormous Iraqi army, at one time seen as having the ability to change the balance of power on the eastern front against Israel, has ceased to exist."
 
Additionally, Amidror stated, "the small but professional Jordanian army is looking east and north, toward the crumbling states of Iraq and Syria.
 
Islamist terrorists are thriving within the power vacuum in both countries, and Jordan may already be in their crosshairs."
 
Gulf states, led by Saudi Arabia, are arming themselves with the best of Western weaponry to prepare themselves for Iran.
 
Radical jihadi elements are basing themselves in the Sinai Peninsula and Syrian Golan, but the threat they pose to Israel is less significant, due to their current lack of strength, he said.

Nasrallah: Israel can't even imagine Hezbollah's weapons arsenal - Yasser Okbi and Maariv Hashavua - http://www.jpost.com/Arab-Israeli-Conflict/Nasrallah-Israel-cant-even-imagine-Hezbollahs-weapons-arsenal-387731

 
Hezbollah has more types of weapons than Israel can imagine, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah told the Arab-language Al-Mayadeen television network  during an interview on Wednesday.
 
"Hezbollah has weapons that the enemy can expect and we have ones that they aren't expecting. Our resistance has not been damaged, and Israel is mistaken if it thinks it has," Nasrallah said.
 
According to the Hezbollah leader, Israel is interested in a conflict that would be a landslide victory for it, however he claims that such a win is completely unrealistic. "If Israel attacks Lebanon, our resistance is strong and our ability to win is great."
 
In October, Hezbollah planted and detonated two bombs in the Mount Dov region along the border with Lebanon, with one device wounding two IDF soldiers.
 
A second blast tore through the same area about 30 minutes later, but failed to cause injuries or damage.
 
The wounded soldiers belonged to the Combat Engineering Corps bomb squad unit, which was accompanying Golani Brigade soldiers on patrol in the area.
 
Both bombs were planted on the Israeli side of the border.
 
The IDF responded by shelling two Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon.

Lies, Palestinian Promises and Abbas - Dr. David Hocking - http://www.davidhocking.org/blog/?cat=1 

 
There is an old saying that, "promises, like pie crust, are meant to be broken."
 
This may be somewhat cynical but when it refers to the promises made to Israel by the Arabs who call themselves Palestinians, it is utterly apt.
 
Never in the history of international diplomacy has so much dissimilitude been perpetrated for so long by one side - the PLO and it's grotesque offspring, the so-called Palestinian Authority. It's congenital untruthfulness and corresponding Israeli gullibility has resulted in disastrous and horrendous consequences for the embattled State of Israel.
 
The Arab League created the PLO in 1964 - three years before the so-called "occupation" - and as an instrument to destroy the Jewish state. It soon came under the infernal leadership of Yasser Arafat.
 
,,,"land for peace" and the "two state solution" must now be replaced with the only word that matters for Israel's survival: Sovereignty.
 The same Egyptian born, Yasser Arafat, had tried to take over Jordan with his horde of terrorists but had been driven out and pushed into Lebanon by King Hussein in September, 1970. It was a bloodbath that resulted in the Jordanian Arab Legion killing thousands of PLO gunmen. Arafat's surviving PLO thugs then turned Lebanon, that once Christian nation, into a living hell with Christians massacred.
 
Arafat's terror gangs were in turn eventually thrown out of Lebanon many years later by the Israel Defense Force (IDF). The PLO had made life in northern Israel intolerable due to their murderous infiltrations across the Lebanese-Israel border with the cold blooded killing of Israeli children. Remember, Ma'alot, Avivim, Kiryat Sh'mona?
 
Regrettably, Arafat slipped through Israel's hands in Beirut and was allowed to escape with many of his thugs to Tunis, helped by the U.S. If he had been left to rot in Tunis, many, many lives would have been saved in subsequent years, but the deluded Israeli Left later invited Yasser Arafat to leave his well-deserved exile in Tunis and rebuild his terror regime, corrupt dictatorship and kleptocracy again; this time in the very heart of biblical and ancestral Jewish Judea and Samaria (the so-called 'West Bank').
 
The leftwing Rabin government even gave weapons to Arafat's growing army believing that it would accord with the Oslo Peace Agreement whereby security would be maintained by Arafat's goons. But, as anyone with eyes to see and ears to hear knew, the weapons were instead soon used against Israeli civilians. These acts of towering and monumental stupidity by the Left led Israel down a road map to near self-destruction.
 
Dr. Martin Sherman has tirelessly exposed the insanity and inanity of the Israeli Left while at the same time lamenting the inadequacy and incompetence of the Israeli Right. For instance, Dr. Sherman refers to the words of the leftist, Yossi Beilin, who is arguably the baleful architect of the catastrophic Oslo Agreement.
 
Beilin wrote in the Israeli newspaper, Maariv, the following delusional screed about what would be done if the Palestinians continued their terrorism in defiance of the so-called Oslo Peace Accords:
 
The ultimate test of this agreement will be a test of blood. If it becomes clear that [the Palestinians] cannot overcome terror, this will be a temporary accord and... we will have no choice but to abrogate it. And if there is no choice, the IDF will return to the places it is about to leave in the upcoming months.
- Yossi Beilin, Ma'ariv, November 26, 1993
 
Well, it never was intended to become a temporary accord by those pushing for its implementation and Israel was subsequently pressured by the U.S. not to return to the places it had so foolishly vacated - certainly not when the Clinton Administration invested so much into an agreement.
 
After all, Clinton recognized the terrorist PLO and required Israel to begin undertaking the unthinkable - the abandonment of ancestral, biblical and strategic Jewish land to the arch-terrorist, Yasser Arafat.
 
The die was cast on that fateful day when a somber Yitzhak Rabin shook hands with a grinning Arafat on the White House lawn. And what was promised to Rabin by the liar in chief, Arafat, was an amendment to the Palestinian Covenant that calls for Israel's destruction.
 
It, of course, never happened. But what did happen was what we now call the Oslo War. In fact Arafat flew to South Africa immediately afterwards where, in a Durban mosque, he reassured his Muslim audience - in Arabic - that he would never make peace with the Jews.
 
In 1994, Israel - the only party that has ever carried out its part of this Faustian bargain - transferred control of Gaza and Jericho to Arafat under yet another accord; this one called the Cairo Accord.
 
Again, Arafat promised to increase his efforts to combat Palestinian terror attacks. His promise was made with a forked tongue and more Jews perished at the hands of Palestinian gunmen. But still the naïve and deluded Israeli leaders persisted in carrying out the letter of the agreements they, oh, so foolishly signed.
 
In 1995 the Jewish state transferred control of six cities in Judea and Samaria (the so-called 'West Bank') to Arafat as fulfillment of the Oslo-2 Accord. Again, Arafat promised to crack down on Palestinian terror against Israelis. It was all lies for with such creatures as Arafat, talk is cheap. Muslims are taught to lie to "infidels" in pursuit of Islamic aims. It is enshrined in the Koran and is called Takiyyah.
 
So while Jewish corpses piled up, Israel yet again made even more concessions to the growing cancer of Arafat's Arab entity plaguing Judea and Samaria and all parts of Israel. And all the while the Israelis alone were urged to take, "risks for peace." Such risks with an implacable Muslim enemy mean ultimate national suicide.
 
In January, 1997 Prime Minister Netanyahu gave away control of most of Hevron - one of the four Jewish holy cities - to what was now called the Palestinian Authority. And again, from Arafat's mouth spewed the bogus promise of combatting Palestinian Arab terror against the Jewish state.
 
Can there be any understanding of why so many Israeli leaders and politicians continue to put their trust in the cynically duplicitous promises of the Arabs who call themselves Palestinians or in the arguably less than friendly Obama Administration and State Department?
 
Even after all the dread experience of putting trust in the deceitful words of the PA, the Israeli leader, Ariel Sharon, in 2005 horribly expelled 10,000 Jewish souls from their villages and farms in Gaza. In return we all know the result: wars, terror, misery and nearly 12,000 missiles aimed at Israeli civilians to date.
 
The so-called Palestinians - now under the leadership of Arafat's lieutenant, the financier of the Munich Massacre and a Holocaust denier, Mahmoud Abbas - will never carry out any commitments made to Israel. Abbas' trip to France to march against terror is just another example of Islamic Takiyyah.
 
As I have written so many times before, where the Muslim foot has trod triumphal in the name of Allah, that land is forever in the Dar al-Islam (the House of Islam).
 
If it is lost to the "infidel" then it enters the Dar al-Harb (the House of War) and it is incumbent upon every Muslim to wage eternal war until it is recovered.
 
Thus, the Palestinian Authority, which is overwhelmingly Muslim, will never make peace with the Jewish state: Period.
 
That being the case, any Israeli who still believes that there ever will be peace with the Palestinian Authority or - heaven forbid - with a state called Palestine, (one that has never existed as a sovereign state in all of recorded history) is terminally deluded and must never, ever be allowed to govern Israel or make any concession to any Muslim entity.
 
Alas, we can expect the Livnis and the Herzogs and all their benighted leftwing followers to continue the "land for peace" lunacy that has brought Israel to the present tragic plight. With another election now due in March, the question remains: Will the result be another lost opportunity, another suicidal compromise, that brings yet another rudderless Israeli ship of state?
 
Long overdue is for the Israeli Right to once and for all hammer away relentlessly to the Israeli public that the infamous euphemisms for Israel's destruction and death, namely "land for peace" and the "two state solution" must now be replaced with the only word that matters for Israel's survival: Sovereignty.
 
The Jewish homeland must extend in every last centimeter from the River Jordan to the Mediterranean Sea. It is not enough to annex just Area C. The Right must end its absurd preoccupation with arguing why the Left is wrong and instead begin articulating why the indigenous people, the native people, the Jews, must not allow alien Arab enemies to lay claim to any part of its patrimony and God given Covenanted land. Oh, how the world will howl. But let it.
 
Only then may the Right not only win elections but no longer see the electorate's trust in them betrayed by subsequent tragic concessions to the Left. The Right must transform Israel into a nation that, though still hated by a morally compromised world, nevertheless will be a strong Torah based nation feared and respected by its enemies.
 
Martin Sherman is absolutely correct when he points to the utterly depressing reality in Israeli politics, namely the inability of the Right to finally defang the corrosive leftwing doctrine of appeasement and capitulation that always rears its ugly head. As he so cogently states in his most recent article published on January 1, 2015 titled: Delusional, destructive Left, incompetent, impotent Right:
 
"The fact that the Right has not been able to marshal the intellectual depth, ideological vigor and political acumen to dispatch this demonstrably delusional doctrine to the garbage heap of history, with all the scorn and ridicule it so richly deserves, is as incomprehensible as it is inexcusable."
 
And with an election coming soon, he ends with the following prescient words:
 
"Unless there is a far-reaching enhancement in the intellectual fare offered the voter, the grim choice confronting him/her will once again be between a delusional Left and an incompetent Right."
 
BE SURE
Netanyahu to French, European Jews after Paris attacks: Israel is your home - http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Netanyahu-to-French-European-Jews-after-Paris-attacks-Israel-is-your-home-387309

 
The Paris attacks could be start of a new wave of world wide terrorism Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned on Saturday night as he promised French Jews they had a home in Israel.
 
He spoke to the media as he prepared to fly to Paris Sunday to join world leaders in a mass solidarity vigil to mourn 17 terror victims killed in France last week, including four French Jews that died on Friday during an attack on a kosher supermarket in the country's capital.
 
"These attacks in Paris are the continuation of extremist Islam's war against our free civilization, in the West, in the entire modern world and also in the moderate Arab states," Netanyahu said.
 
"But if we ignore the true root of the problem, if we ignore the fact that extremist Islamic terrorism seeks to exterminate Western civilization as a whole, including the Jewish People, if we ignore this - what we are now seeing in Paris will be only the beginning. These are not frightening words or prophecies of rage, this is the simple reality and the time has come to recognize it," Netanyahu said.
 
To the Jews of France he said, "The State of Israel is not just the place to which you turn in prayer. The State of Israel is also your home. This week, a special team of ministers will convene to advance steps to increase immigration from France and other countries in Europe that are suffering from terrible anti-Semitism. "All Jews who want to immigrate to Israel will be welcomed here warmly and with open arms. We will help you in your absorption here in our state that is also your state," Netanyahu said.
 
Netanyahu is among many world leaders heading to Paris. Those who will attend Sunday's solidarity vigil include Germany's Angela Merkel, Britain's David Cameron, Italy's Matteo Renzi, Arab League representatives and some Muslim African leaders as well as Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu.
 
Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman, Economic Affairs Minister Naftali Bennett and on behalf of the Knesset former Shas chairman Eli Yishai will also attend the vigil to mark the worst assault on France's homeland security for decades.
 
Seventeen victims were killed in France three days of violence that began with an attack on the Charlie Hebdo weekly on Wednesday and ended with Friday's dual sieges at a print works outside Paris and a kosher supermarket in the city.
 
French security forces shot dead the two brothers behind the Hebdo killings after they took refuge in the print works and an associate who had planted explosives at the kosher supermarket in a siege that claimed the lives of four hostages, all of whom were Jewish.
 
The whereabouts of the partner of the Jewish deli attacker, 26-year-old Hayat Boumeddiene, remained unknown. A source familiar with the situation said that Boumeddiene left France last week and traveled to Syria via Turkey.
 
Netanyahu said that he had spoken on Saturday by telephone with Celine Shreki, a hostage in the kosher market in Paris.
 
"She is recovering. She told me about the terrorist's inconceivable cruelty and of the heroism of the young Jewish man who attempted to seize his weapon and shoot him; he was shot by the terrorist and died about 45 minutes later."
 
He expressed his sorrow for the murdered French citizens, journalists and police offices.
 
"Our brothers and sisters in the French Jewish community, we grieve with you over the terrible loss. I would like to send condolences to the families of Yoav Hattab, Philippe Barham, Johan Cohen and Francois-Michel Saada," Netanyahu said.
 
Immediately after hearing of the supermarket attack on Friday  Netanyahu held a conference call with Liberman, Foreign Ministry Director General Nissim Ben-Shetrit, Mossad Director Tamir Pardo and National Security Adviser Yossi Cohen. After the meeting, Netanyahu instructed that all possible assistance be granted to the French authorities and that security directives be underscored at Israeli missions and Jewish institutions.
 
On Friday night Netanyahu spoke with French President Francois Hollande and assured him that the "entire people of Israel are with you. Our hearts are with the families of the victims."
 
Netanyahu offered France any Israeli assistance it needed and asked Hollande in turn to heighten security at Jewish institutions.
 
When he spoke with French Prime Minister Manuel Valls said it was important to cut off financing for extremist Islamic terrorist organizations and to take action against incitement in Europe.
 
"It is also essential to take action against countries that give support, shelter and passage to terrorism," he said.
 
Netanyahu also spoke with CRIF President Roger Cukierman and French National Assembly member Meyer Habib.
 
On Saturday night before heading to Paris Netanyahu said of the attacks, "This is a wave of terrorism that is spreading a global net of hatred, fanaticism and murder. After establishing its bases in the Middle East, terrorism is now sending its arms throughout the world. If the world does not take action quickly, we will find this terrorism gaining momentum and increasingly striking at other centers of the free world and in other places.
 
If the world does not take action quickly, we will find this terrorism gaining momentum and increasingly striking at other centers of the free world and in other places."
 
Opposition leader Isaac Herzog, who will not fly to France, said "every terrorist around the world must know that whoever harms a Jew due to his religion, Israel will demand his head."
 
Yesh Atid chairman Yair Lapid said the events in France broke his heart. He said the Europeans were realizing that terror must be handled with determination and without compromising.
 
Shas leader Arye Deri called on French Jews to make aliyah. He said they would be received in Israel with love.
 
Liberman also urged French Jews to immigrate. "I have no doubt that the best security is aliya to Israel," he told Channel 2.


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