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Friday, July 24, 2015

MIDEAST UPDATE: 7.24.15 - The IDF is the World's Best Defense Against a Nuclear Iran

The IDF is the World's Best Defense Against a Nuclear Iran - By Raphael Poch - http://www.breakingisraelnews.com/45519/idf-best-defense-against-nuclear-iran/#WcTUMsrK8tohiHjL.97

 
"The people shall hear and be afraid; sorrow shall take hold..." (Exodus 15:14)
 
With the world in turmoil following the recent deal between Iran and the P5+1, the Israeli Defense Forces are preparing to serve as the world's best defense against a nuclear Iran.
 
"Over the years, the Israeli Defense Forces have managed to thwart the evil plans of our enemies," said Dr. John Grossman, chairman of American Friends of LIBI, the IDF's unit supporting humanitarian aid to soldiers. "We have no doubt that the IDF will continue to play a vital role as Israel's and the Jewish people's first line of defense."
 
Since April, amid the foreshadowing of the acceptance of an agreement between Iran and the P5+1, the IDF has been instructed to prepare plans for a military response to the Iranian problem. Israel for some time has been developing air defense systems that will be able to counter Iranian missiles with a nuclear payload, such as David's Sling, the Arrow, and the Patriot missile systems, as well as Iron Dome for smaller missiles.
 
However, Israel has no physical defense system in place to prevent the smuggling of a nuclear bomb into the country and being detonated in a population center by Iranian supported terrorist groups such as Hamas or Hezbollah. That is, aside from the soldiers of the IDF.
 
The IDF has been continually vigilant on smugglers encroaching upon Israeli borders from all sides, and even from within Israel itself. Additionally, the IDF recently appointed a special task force to design strike plans against Iranian nuclear facilities in the event that Israel deems it necessary. In such a case, the IDF plans to take the offensive, something which they did in both Iraq and Syria when those enemy countries began developing their own nuclear weapons program.
 
A source close to Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon was quoted as saying by Walla!, "You have to prepare yourself for all of the threats. Not only for Gaza and Lebanon. The military option costs money but the more time goes by, you're better prepared to carry out the mission."
 
While other US allied countries such as Saudi Arabia have also expressed their displeasure at the recent deal, only Israel has openly spoken out against it. Experts believe Saudi Arabia has too much to lose if they displease the US, who is currently helping the Saudi kingdom and their allies fight the Houthi revolt in Yemen.
 
According to a recent Ha'aretz report, Israel refused a boost in military aid that was offered by the Obama administration to appease Israeli opposition to the Iran deal. The defense deal, which was offered in April, was outright refused by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as he didn't want to be seen acquiescing to the Iranian deal, which he has time and again staunchly opposed both locally as well as internationally.
 
A highly placed US official told the paper that the offer is being extended even if Israel decides to wait until after the Congressional vote that will ultimately decide the fate of the US's acceptance of the agreement with Iran. "Even after the Congressional vote, and even if it is ratified, the sun will still rise the next day, and Israel and the US will continue to work together on military and strategic issues," he said.
 
On Sunday, Netanyahu rejected any rumors of accepting any and future military aid packages from the US, saying that no amount of compensation would be able to counter a nuclear armed Iran "sworn to our destruction."
 
"The deal endangers our security, our survival even, and the security of the Middle East and the world," the prime minister explained during an interview with ABC's "This Week".
 
"Everybody talks about compensating Israel. If this deal is supposed to make Israel and its Arab neighbors safer, why should we need to be compensated with anything? And how can you compensate my country against a terror regime that is sworn to our destruction and going to get a path to nuclear bombs?" Netanyahu asked.
 
As the picture currently stands, with most of the world either quietly waiting to see what happens with the UN vote and the vote in Congress, being cajoled into acquiescing to the deal or outright supporting the deal, only Israel and only the IDF will form a forceful deterrent to Iran obtaining a nuclear bomb.
 
 
Israel to Ashton: Iranian forces mustn't be allowed to dump ISIS on Israeli Golan border - http://www.debka.com/article/24755/Israel-to-Ashton-Iranian-forces-mustn't-be-allowed-to-dump-ISIS-on-Israeli-Golan-border

 
Although Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu again appealed to US Congress not to approve the "dream deal" won by Iran, this deal was not his main business with US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter whom he was due to meet Monday, July 20.  Carter himself told reporters that the two countries could "agree to disagree."
 
Israel's overriding concern at this time, debkafile's military sources report, is about Tehran's possible endgame in fighting the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, i.e. driving ISIS fighters to confront Israeli forces on the Golan and also reach the Jordanian border.
 
Iran's Revolutionary Guards are in command of the "Popular Mobilization Forces," a collection of pro-Iranian Shiite militias put together to combat ISIS in Iraq. Netanyahu and Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon will ask Carter if the US has any control over the Iranian command centers in Iraq and Syria, and is in a position to stop Tehran harnessing Hezbollah and Syrian troops to help those militias remove the threat ISIS poses to their allies in Damascus and Baghdad by diverting them to Israel and Jordan.
 
 This peril first raised its head when, straight after the six powers signed the Vienna nuclear deal with Iran on July 14, US security officials, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif declared that the next move was to build a broad coalition for fighting ISIS.
 
Netanyahu raised this concern with UK Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond, when he arrived in Jerusalem on July 16, two days after the Vienna deal was concluded. Although the Secretary's formal mission was to elucidate the accord to Israel's leaders, his real purpose was to hand him a letter from British Prime Minister David Cameron. In this letter, Cameron explained that his decision to extend RAF bombing missions from Iraq to Syria (depending on parliament's approval in September) had nothing to do with Washington's policies, but was solely motivated by the Islamist threat hanging over British national security.
 
 Britain, he said, was not acting in support of the Syrian-Iranian-Hezbollah lineup against the Islamist group; nor was it part of the Obama administration's turnabout in favor of supporting Syrian President Bashar Assad. British bombers would target ISIS in the UK's own interests.
 
 Netanyahu discussed with Hammond the extent of US coordination with Iran's military steps in Iraq. He said that if this tight partnership spilled over into Syria, Israel might be put willy-nilly in a position of proactive defense. The prime minister informed his British guest, intending the message to reach Washington too, that Israel has no intention of allowing itself to be pushed to the wall by an Iranian-commanded Shiite force prospectively sitting on its border, or by Islamist jihadis driven out of their Syrian strongholds and dumped there.
 
 Saturday, July 7, Gen. Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Command, arrived on an unannounced visit to Baghdad. Closeted with US officers and Iraqi political and military officials, Dempsey reviewed the state of the war on ISIS and determined that Iraq does not require additional troops or "advisers" on the ground to assist Iraqi forces to displace the ISIS terrorists.
 
Clearly, more and more of the onus for fighting the Islamic State is being passed by Washington to Tehran.
 
 Dempsey made a point of discussing the operation to liberate Ramadi which the Islamists captured in mid-May. "The object now is to isolate Ramadi, to deny ISIL the ability to either withdraw or reinforce," he said.
 
On paper, it is the Iraqi army which is leading this important counter-offensive. On the ground, it is being fought by Iran-led Shiite "Popular Mobilization Forces."
 
The signal conveyed by Dempsey was read in Israel, Saudi Arabia and Jordan, ahead of the Ashton Carter visit to their capitals this week: Don't expect the Obama administration to back away from its close cooperation with Iran in the struggle against ISIS. This was the direct follow-up to the nuclear deal, regardless of how Iran's empowerment might affect their national security.
Netanyahu switches tactics for blocking Iran nuclear deal. Iranian Guards chief: We will never accept it - http://www.debka.com/article/24757/Netanyahu-switches-tactics-for-blocking-Iran-nuclear-deal-Iranian-Guards-chief-We-will-never-accept-it-

 
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has switched tactics for his struggle against the nuclear deal between Iran and world powers. The accord was unanimously endorsed Monday, July 20, by the UN Security Council and European Union in the first step towards winding down sanctions.
 
debkafile's Washington and Jerusalem sources report that the prime minister has turned aside from his effort to persuade a majority of US lawmakers to thumbs-down on the deal by vetoing a presidential veto. He realized that his chances of success were slim. Netanyahu plans instead to put before the US Congress a proposal for new laws to specify in detail the issues on which Iranian violations would make US administration penalties mandatory. This legislation would spell out the penalties and their duration.
 
 Netanyahu recently confided to his advisers that he has become less concerned with the number of Democratic senators who might vote against the nuclear accord, and a lot more about the content of the separate transactions the powers have signed with Iran, including secret annexes which the administration signed off on and has not disclosed to the American public.
 
 All these contracts, including the arrangement with the International Atomic Energy Agency-IAEA, are, Netanyahu notes, couched in "extremely economical terms" - general enough to give Tehran plenty of room for maintaining that its breaches are legitimate.
 
A key example of this is the item on monitoring Iran's nuclear facilities. President Barack Obama and administration officials emphasize tirelessly that inspections will be deeper and more extensive than ever before, and no nuclear activity will escape the notice of US intelligence. But, according to the prime minister, the deal with the IAEA and the secret annexes of the Vienna accord open the door for Iran to conduct covert activity which US intelligence would not be obliged to report.
 
Furthermore, a key clause in the main body of the deal (Part 10 on page 142) includes a promise by the US (et al) "to safeguard Iran's nuclear plants and facilities against terrorist attacks, outside disruption, or sabotage."
This commitment obviates the US pledge to leave the military option on the table. But most of all, it ties Israel's hands for crippling a covert Iranian nuclear weapons program by permitting Tehran to invoke this clause.
 
It is these lacunae in the nuclear deal which Netanyahu seeks to plug by means of new, precise US congressional legislation.
 
debkafile's sources note that such legislature would be the US Congress's answer to the law the Iranian Majlis adopted on June 23 - and the Guardian Council a day later - whereby the nuclear accords signed in Vienna would go into force only if all sanctions were lifted forthwith. Then, too, the foreign minister would be required to report to the Iranian parliament every six months on the performance of the six world powers which signed the deal in complying with their commitments under the accord.
 
Last Sunday, July 12, two days before the Vienna accord was signed, President Hassan Rouhani issued an executive order under the heading "Nuclear Achievements Act" for Iran's Foreign Ministry and its Nuclear Energy Agency AEOI to implement...  the Majlis resolution.
 
 In other words, for Tehran, the entire Vienna package is still up in the air, held in abeyance for the world powers to obey the condition laid down by the Iranian parliament.
 
Tehran was also quick to negate the unanimous UN Security Council resolution and its endorsement by European Union foreign ministers, which mandated the gradual lifting of sanctions in pace with Iran's compliance - not forthwith as stipulated by the Majlis.
 
 To make sure this situation was clearly understood, with no ifs or buts, Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps commander Mohammed Ali Jafari stepped forward Monday, July 20, and announced: "Some of the points inserted in the draft (UN resolution) are clearly in contradiction to the Islamic Republic of Iran's major red lines and violate them, particularly regarding arms capabilities, and we'll never accept it."
 
He designated the most "critical red line" as being the "maintaining and upgrading of Iran's defense capabilities."
 
Since Tehran views the development of intercontinental ballistic missiles a "defense capability," Jafari's words were a warning to the world powers that Iran's ICBM program was inviolable.
 
 The prime minister advises US Congress to match the Iranian parliament by pursuing the opposite tactic. Whereas, Iran's lawmakers, instead of endorsing the Vienna nuclear deal, enacted measures for circumventing it, US lawmakers must give it teeth to block Iranian evasions.
 
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