WORLD AT WAR: 10.27.18 - Intelligence Report, Iran Much Closer to Nuclear Bomb Than Previously Thought

Intelligence Report, Iran Much Closer to Nuclear Bomb Than Previously Thought - By Adam Eliyahu Berkowitz - https://www.breakingisraelnews.com/115744/iranian-missile-threat-israels-border/

 

Though I walk among enemies, You preserve me in the face of my foes; You extend Your hand; with Your right hand You deliver me. Psalms 138:7 (The Israel Bible�)

 

As a result of IDF airstrikes against its military bases in Syria, Iran has been forced to transfer its anti-Israel assets to Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon. This effort, involving upgrading hundreds of thousands of missiles, uses nefarious method and may even involve a more imminent nuclear threat than previously thought.

 

Fox News reported on Friday that Western intelligence sources believe Iran has increased its shipments of advanced weapons to the Hezbollah, Iran's terrorist proxy based in Lebanon. It is believed that Iran shipped Global Positioning Satellite (GPS) components to Hezbollah, which will be used to upgrade unguided missiles, turning them into precision guided weapons. Fox reported that one such shipment arrived in Lebanon last Tuesday.

 

This is consistent with claims made by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu when he addressed the United Nations General Assembly in September. Netanyahu warned that Hezbollah was using Lebanese civilians as human shields by hiding missiles in Beirut to be used against Israel. He claimed factories in Lebanon were converting the low-tech missiles into high-tech precision missiles. Following restocking after the Second Lebanon War in 2006, Hezbollah is estimated to have between 100,00 and 150,000 missiles in its arsenal. Most are not believed to be equipped with precision technology.

 

It is believed that Iran transfers at least some of these weapons to Lebanon via civilian airliners. Last month, Israel sent a letter to the Secretary General of the UN accusing Iran of using civilian airliners to smuggle weapons to Islamist terrorist group Hezbollah in Lebanon. The U.S Treasury Office of Foreign Assets Control has issued economic sanctions against several of the companies suspected of involvement in transferring weapons.

 

The Iranian missile threat is not limited to Lebanon. In August, Reuters reported that Iran provided Zelzal-3, Fateh-110 and Zolfaqar ballistic missiles with ranges of about 125-435 miles to Shi'ite proxies in Iraq. This would put Israel in range while posing a threat to Saudi Arabia as well.

 

 

The former head of Israeli Military Intelligence and currently head of the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), Maj. Gen. (res.) Amos Yadlin, told Y-Net on Sunday that this was all part of a change in strategy by Iran, moving their assets out of Syria while still threatening Israel.

 

"The Iranians were severely beaten on May 10," Yadlin told Y-Net. "The IDF attacked about 50 targets in Syria where the Iranians were based, it took them some time, but according to my estimates, they changed strategy: instead of basing the precision missile factories in Syria, they decided to do it in Lebanon."

 

The IDF recently admitted to conducting almost 200 airstrikes in Syria last year, most against Iranian military bases, weapons depots, and convoys transporting weapons to Hezbollah. The ability to conduct such strikes is in question after Syrian anti-aircraft systems shot down a Russian military turboprop airplane during an Israeli strike killing 14 Russian servicemen. Russia blamed Israel and responded by providing the Syrian army with the advanced S-300 surface-to-air missile system.

 

Yadlin explained that Iranian missiles in the hands of Hezbollah were a greater threat than missiles in Syria.

 

"It is more problematic for Israel since Israel, to this day, has not attacked the Iranian consolidation in Lebanon or Hezbollah's weaponry, and now there are missile conversion factories. According to the report, these are statistical missiles that strike at a distance of several kilometers. This poses a very difficult dilemma for Israel," Yadlin explained.

 

"If Israel does not do anything, Hassan Nasrallah's organization will turn its order of battle of its statistical missiles and rockets into precision missiles. The price will be paid in war."

 

A recent report indicated that the Iranian nuclear threat was even more precarious than previously thought. The Institute for Science and International Security published a report on Tuesday cited intelligence material collected by the Mossad from an Iranian military warehouse last January. The institute's report claims that the intelligence collected by the Mossad "conclusively shows that the Parchin site did house high explosive chambers capable for use in nuclear weapons research and development." The report concluded that Iran was closer to being able to build a nuclear weapon than previously thought.

 

 

The Rise Of The Russian-Turkish-Iranian Alliance

 

In early September, Russia, Turkey, and Iran met in Tehran to discuss the future of Syria. It was just one of many meetings in the past several years between three of the most powerful nations in Middle Eastern politics. In a mid-September meeting, Russia and Turkey agreed to carry out coordinated military patrols on the borders of a "demilitarized" buffer zone between Syrian troops and rebel forces in Syria's Idlib province. 

Idlib is the last major stronghold of rebel and jihadist groups trying to overthrow Assad in a civil war that has killed more than 400,000 people and displaced millions. For Russia and Iran, retaking Idlib is crucial to complete the military victory they crave in Syria's civil war after almost 8 years of fighting. As the war winds down, these three powers will decide the future of Syria.

At first glance, Russia, Turkey, and Iran make unlikely allies. For instance, Turkey is a Sunni Muslim nation, while Iran is a Shiite Muslim nation. Also, Turkey is a member of NATO, an alliance formed specifically to counter Russian military aggression. 

These three nations have many differences and a number of competing interests. Yet, with each passing day, they become closer and closer. Why? Syria. The ongoing Syrian civil war highlights a number of overlapping interests for these nations. Understanding those interests is the key to understanding why these nations are coming together. So let's look at what each nation seeks to gain.

Russia

Why does Russia care so much about Syria? Several reasons. First, Russia maintains an important naval facility in Tartus, Syria. It's the Russian Navy's only overseas base, vital for repair and refueling of the Russian Navy. As we've seen, Russia will fight to keep its naval installation in Tartus. Second, Syria has long been an ally of Russia and the Soviet Union. 

Dating back to the Cold War, Syria's ruling Assad family has been aligned with Russia against western influence in the region. Russia wants to keep Assad in power and maintain its regional presence. Syria has also been a lucrative market for the sale of Russian weapons and commodities, and Russia doesn't want to lose that market. Third, Russia wants to do more than maintain its presence in the Middle East. It wants to expand it. Russia's military entry into the Syrian civil war in 2015 turned the tide of the war. It clinched eventual victory for Assad. 

This means Russia will maintain enormous influence over Assad and Syria. Finally, Russia's alliance with Turkey and Iran serves to strengthen its influence in the Middle East, but it also serves another purpose. The warming relationship between Turkey and Russia (and Vladimir Putin and Recep Erdogan) divides NATO. It strains the relationship between Turkey and its western NATO allies. So it's easy to see why Russia has such a vested interest in Turkey as well as Syria.

Turkey

What does Syria mean to Turkey? A lot. A massive attack on rebels in Idlib (home to around 3 million people) could spark a humanitarian crisis on its border. It could unleash a nightmare scenario where hundreds of thousands of refugees, including militants, flee toward Turkey's border, destabilizing towns and cities under its control. Turkey already hosts 3 million Syrian refugees, and it's sealed its borders to new entrants. 

Turkey wants a stable border. It wants to take advantage of Syria's civil war and gain influence and control over Syrian territory (by backing Sunni rebel groups). Most of all, Turkey wants to suppress Kurdish militants on its border. Turkey already has Kurdish-controlled areas on its border in northern Iraq. It wants to avoid the rise of new ones. This puts it in direct conflict with the United States, which is backing Kurdish rebels in Syria. This has driven Turkey closer to Russia and led it to play Russia and the NATO powers against each other to its own benefit.

Iran

Why is Syria so important to Iran? Iran has decades of close ties to Syria going back to the 1979 Islamic revolution, and both champion the Shiite Muslim branch of Islam. Iran already has regional footholds in Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen, and it wants to keep and expand its influence in a nation neighboring Israel and Lebanon. 

A presence in Syria gives Iran land access to the Mediterranean Sea, a staging ground for Hezbollah and other proxies to attack Israel, and access to Israel's border for Iranian armed forces to launch a future invasion of Israel. Iran wants to keep Syria allied against Israel, and since Hezbollah and advisors from Iran's Revolutionary Guard have helped Assad throughout the civil war, they're well positioned to take advantage if he retains power.

What the Future Holds

After almost 8 years of conflict, the Syrian civil war is coming to a close. The aftermath will see Syria carved into spheres of influence. Russia, Turkey, and Iran will dominate those spheres, and all three countries will remain in Syria. This makes it likely they'll continue to work together to avoid conflict and pursue their shared interests. So why should you care? Because the new Syria might be foreshadowing the soon fulfillment of bible prophecy. The shared interests of Russia, Turkey, and Iran could lead them to launch an invasion prophesied 2,600 years ago.

The Ezekiel 38-39 War

Six centuries before the crucifixion of Jesus, the prophet Ezekiel foretold a future invasion of Israel. He said it will occur in the last days (Ezekiel 38:16). He said it will come from north of Israel (Ezekiel 38:15; Ezekiel 39:2), and he said it will involve a coalition of nations led by Russia (Ezekiel 38:2) that includes Iran and Turkey (Ezekiel 38:5-6). Never before have these three nations been in alliance. 

But today, all three sit on Israel's northern border. Coincidence? I don't think so. Who knows why they'll ultimately attack, but rest assured, they will. The stage is now set for the fulfillment of Ezekiel 38-39. The God of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob will win the battle (Ezekiel 39:3-6), and the whole world will know He is the One behind the victory (Ezekiel 39:21).

Britt Gillette is author of the ebook Coming to Jesus as well as the books Signs of the Second Coming and Racing Toward Armageddon. 

 

 

Israel Sends A Warning To Iran And Hezbollah - By Yoav Limor - http://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=2670

 

The recent disclosure of Hezbollah's covert activity along the Lebanese border with Israel is part of the wide-scale campaign Israel is waging against the terrorist organization and its Iranian patron.

 

Under cover of an environmental advocacy group, the observation posts are themselves of tactical significance: They allow Hezbollah to maintain a presence on the border in violation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which brought an end to the Second Lebanon War, and to regularly collect intelligence to direct operational activity inside Israeli territory in real time.

 

But the disclosure is in fact of even greater significance. By exposing Hezbollah's efforts on the border, Israel is in fact demanding the international community enforce its decisions and put an end to Hezbollah's illicit activity. The move also serves as a warning to the Lebanese government and the Lebanese people from Israel that this activity could drag Lebanon into a war, and that it is Hezbollah that would be responsible for such a development.

 

This disclosure is part of Israel's so-called "campaign between the wars," a strategic concept that encompasses a host of covert and low-intensity military and intelligence efforts to prevent enemy states and terrorist organizations from becoming stronger and thwart their offensive activity. While this campaign is known to make headlines when it involves an airstrike on an Iranian weapons convoy or facility in Syria, there are also other dimensions to Israel's efforts, and they can involve diplomatic or economic efforts and even the media.

 

This is not the first time that Israel has been behind this type of report, which has appeared in both the local and foreign press. In some instances, such a report is aimed at deterring an imminent attack, other times it is aimed at the continuing illegal activity. When Israel has exposed Hezbollah's activities along the border in the past, it resulted in the organization lowering its profile. One can assume that officials in Israel hope that this most recent report will spur Hezbollah to pull back from these front-line observation posts.

 

Israel's efforts to counter the observation posts is just one small piece of a much more complex puzzle, aimed at making Hezbollah's and Iran's operations more difficult. Israel also recently exposed the organization's efforts to establish weapons factories inside Lebanon in order to convert previously unguided rockets into highly accurate missiles. Despite the media reports, it seems those efforts are ongoing. Several reports in recent days have even tied Israel to an attack on a weapons convoy in Lebanon, the first since the downing of a Russian plane last month.

 

This has also been hinted at in speeches delivered by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, in which they said Israeli activity against Iran was ongoing despite Russia's decision to provide Syria with the S-300 anti-aircraft defense system following the Syrian army's downing of the Russian plane.

 

Nevertheless, it seems that Israel is now trying to keep this activity out of the public eye in order to avoid a new confrontation with the Kremlin. This concerted effort may also be the result of a certain slowdown in Iranian activity in Syria and Lebanon, which stems in part from Tehran's desire to understand the repercussions of Russia's new policy, as well as the difficulties it now faces as a result of Donald Trump's withdrawal from the nuclear deal and sanctions implemented by his administration.

 

These challenges are expected to exacerbate on November 4, when an additional wave of US sanctions on Iran take effect. Israeli officials believe it will be difficult for Iran to circumvent these sanctions, which are set to deliver another serious blow to its economy.

 

As a result, the ayatollah regime will need to decide whether to continue to invest billions of dollars every year in wars in places like Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and the Gaza Strip, and risk further angering its citizens by squandering state funds to this end instead of investing them in the Iranian people. Iran could also decide to decrease funding overseas, a move that would be detrimental to its efforts to export the Islamic Revolution and to Tehran's customers, among them Hezbollah.

 

These measures will have a direct impact on the security situation in the north and to a lesser extent in Gaza. As it stands, the southern front is still much more volatile than the north, which poses a more dangerous threat due to the might of Hezbollah. Nonetheless, the Shiite organization is being very cautious, and despite this old-new activity on the border, is taking care to avoid an escalation with Israel, which for the time being is the last thing it wants.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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