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Friday, July 3, 2015

IRAN UPDATE: 7.3.15 - Nuclear Deal Would Leave Iran with 5,000 Centrifuges

Nuclear Deal Would Leave Iran with 5,000 Centrifuges - Adam Kredo -
http://freebeacon.com/issues/iran-nuke-deal-ensures-iranian-centrifuges-continue-spinning/
 
Pakistan secured nuclear weapons with 3,000
 
Iran will be permitted to operate more than 5,000 nuclear centrifuges under any final deal secured in the coming days, according to Western sources who fear that the Islamic Republic could use such technology to continue building a nuclear weapon.
 
Sources commenting on the resumed talks indicated on Tuesday that Iran and Western powers have reached a deal that would enable Iran to continue operating more than 5,000 nuclear centrifuges, which are used to enrich uranium to a level needed for a weapon.
 
As negotiators struggle to work around a new set of Iranian red lines announced last week in a speech by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, U.S. officials announced Tuesday that the talks would be extended through at least July 7.
 
Iranian leaders have demanded in recent days that the United States agree to allow the country to maintain its core nuclear structure, including centrifuges and other nuclear research efforts.
 
Such a large number of centrifuges could enable Tehran to enrich enough uranium for several bombs, experts say. Countries such as Pakistan and North Korea have successfully achieved nuclear weapons status with far fewer centrifuges.
 
Pakistan, for instance, secured nuclear weapons by running around 3,000 centrifuges, according to analysts.
 
"Iran is poised to walk away from Vienna with more centrifuges than North Korea has ever been known to possess and a U.S.-endorsed R&D program to improve their efficiency," said Chris Griffin, executive director of the Foreign Policy Initiative. "For talks that began with U.S. officials insisting that Iran dismantle its enrichment capability, that outcome will mark a resounding collapse."
 
Western sources familiar with the talks expressed concern about the United States enabling Iran's illicit nuclear activities in a last-minute bid to strike a deal before the deadline.
 
"It is alarming to see how in dealing with this regime in Tehran, our negotiators have learned so little from past errors, where leaving nuclear infrastructure, like thousands of centrifuges, in the hands of lying, terror-sponsoring, human rights abusing, ballistic missile shooting mad-men resulted in nuclear weapons and proliferation, just as this bad deal will promote," said one source present in Vienna for the talks.
 
Under the tentative parameters of a final deal, Iran will be allowed to operate more than 5,000 centrifuges.
 
Michael Morell, a former CIA deputy director, explained in February that such a large number of centrifuges could be used to build a nuclear weapon.
 
"If you are going to have a nuclear weapons program, 5,000 is pretty much the number you need," Morell, said. "If you have a power program, you need a lot more. By limiting them to a small number of centrifuges, we are limiting them to the number you need for a weapon."
 
Another Western source present for the talks said that "this deal gives the Iranians more than enough centrifuges to go nuclear whenever they decide to, and hopes that they don't."
 
In addition to the centrifuge debate, Iran has insisted it not be subject to international inspections. Tehran also is insisting it not be required to disclose the past military dimensions of its nuclear program.
 
Marie Harf, a State Department official, told reporters Tuesday that the talks would be extended past their original June 30 deadline in a bid to secure a final agreement.
 
"The P5+1 and Iran have decided to extend the measures under the Joint Plan of Action until July 7 to allow more time for negotiations to reach a long-term solution-a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action-on the Iran nuclear issue," said Harf in a statement to reporters.
On eve of Iran deal, US retreats on inspections of nuclear past, speeds up sanctions relief -
http://www.debka.com/article/24704/On-eve-of-Iran-deal-US-retreats-on-inspections-of-nuclear-past-speeds-up-sanctions-relief

 
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said Sunday, June 28: "We are seeing a clear retreat from the red lines that the world powers set recently and publicly." Addressing the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem and later the Knesset, he added: "There is no reason to rush to sign this bad agreement which is getting worse every day."
 
Netanyahu was referring to three major concessions approved by President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry in the final stage of negotiations for a comprehensive nuclear accord with Iran.
 
They are outlined here by debkafile:
 
1. After barring International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections of suspect sites for years, Tehran will now be allowed to submit a paper with answers to queries about its past clandestine activities at those military sites, such as suspected tests of nuclear bomb detonators and explosives. That document would effectively draw a line on Iran's suspect past
 
debkafile: Iran has submitted countless documents to the IAEA, none of which gave specific replies to specific questions. The UN Security Council accordingly passed a number of resolutions requiring Tehran to come clean on the military aspects of its nuclear program. Tehran ignored them. Now Obama and Kerry are letting Tehran off the hook on its past secrets.
 
 2.  Obama and Kerry have withdrawn the "anytime, anywhere" stipulation for snap inspections of suspect nuclear facilities, as mandated by the Additional Protocol signed by Iran. They now agree that international monitors must first submit a request to an "Iranian Committee" (not even a joint US-Iranian committee) for advance permission to inspect nuclear facilities.
 
 This would leave Tehran free to approve, deny, or delay permission for inspections.
 
3.  Washington has backed down on its insistence on predicating sanctions relief on Iran's compliance with its obligations under the final accord. After Tehran countered with a demand for the sanctions to be lifted immediately upon the signing of the accord, the Obama administration agreed to remove them in three stages:
 
a)  Straight after the deal is signed.
 
b)  After ratification of the accord by the US Congress and Iranian Majlis.
 This process is expected to take place by the end of 2015, and so Iran will win two multibillion windfalls this year without being required to meet any obligations beyond its signature
 
 Obama counts on the support of 34 US senators. In any case, Congress is not empowered to reject or delay the deal
 
c)  All remaining sanctions will be lifted when implementation of the accord begins.
 
Nothing is therefore left of the original US pledges to link sanctions relief to Iran's compliance with its commitments or President Obama's solemn vow to "snap back" sanctions any time for any Iranian violations. The IAEA is virtually left without teeth.
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