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Friday, May 30, 2014

RUSSIAN UPDATE: 5.30.14



 
The US-Russia conflict arising from the Ukraine crisis has not ended but the United States has fallen into another dispute with China over the sovereignty issue in the South China Sea and the internet security problem. But a new cold war seems to be looming as China and Russia have teamed up to counter the United States.
 
The relations between Russia and China entered a rare honeymoon stage after Russian president Vladimir Putin visited China and Beijing hosted the Summit of Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia (CICA). Additionally, China and Russia have signed a natural-gas deal worth US$456 billion and have held a joint military exercise in the East China Sea.
 
The new cold war, focusing on economic and political interests, is different from that of the last century, which had its emphasis on military confrontation.
 
China and Russia's formation of a military alliance not only strengthens China's position of influence, but also highlights the emerging economies led by the BRICS nations, as US dominance declines.
 
At present, the United States is pressuring Russia to withdraw from Ukraine through sanctions in Europe, while simultaneously trying to block China's sea channels and rising military power by teaming up with Japan, Vietnam and the Philippines in East Asia.
 
Washington's Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) aims to slash China's role and power of influence in economic and trade integration in the Asia-Pacific region.
 
At the CICA, China and Russia facilitated the establishment of a new mechanism to solve regional security issues, indicating their disagreement with the current security system led by the United States in the Asia-Pacific region.
 
Chinese president Xi Jinping's new Asia security plan expresses the basis of letting Asian countries handle their affairs themselves. Xi opposes any nations' monopolization of regional security affairs and hurting other countries' legitimate rights and interests.
 
The deepening setup for the new cold war will definitely slash the US influence in the Asia-Pacific region. Russia's eastward shift of power might also change China and the United States' military strategies in the East and South China seas.
 
Faced with changing relations among China, the United States and Russia, the United States may have to moderately adjust its strategies in the Asia-Pacific. Insisting on blocking China and Russia might increase risks of political conflict in the region and tear East Asia apart.
 
As for Taiwan, it is critical for to learn how to maintain the peaceful development of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait to ensure its economic and political interests.

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